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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
67.06% ( 0.23) | 20.41% ( -0.09) | 12.52% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 43.56% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.92% ( 0.06) | 50.08% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.95% ( 0.05) | 72.05% ( -0.05) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.97% ( 0.09) | 14.02% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.42% ( 0.17) | 41.57% ( -0.17) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.67% ( -0.19) | 49.33% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.81% ( -0.13) | 84.19% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.32% Total : 67.05% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 12.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
4 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
6 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Notts County | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
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