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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
40.37% ( 0.02) | 23.53% ( -0.01) | 36.1% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.14% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.35% ( 0.05) | 38.64% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.05% ( 0.06) | 60.94% ( -0.06) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.49% ( 0.03) | 19.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.6% ( 0.05) | 51.39% ( -0.05) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( 0.02) | 21.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( 0.03) | 54.63% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 8.62% 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
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