MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 17:02:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Lorient logo

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Lorient


Nouri (38'), Gonzalez (47'), El Idrissy (68'), Youssouf (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ouattara (51')
Kone (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 1-2 Lorient

Considering that Ajaccio have conceded in every game so far this term, while Lorient have only kept one clean sheet in five outings, we can see both sides having joy in the final third on Sunday. However, the visitors will be viewed as the slight favourites and should do enough to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawLorient
47.05% (0.637 0.64) 28.29% (-0.491 -0.49) 24.66% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 42.49% (1.076 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.33% (1.422 1.42)62.68% (-1.418 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77% (1.024 1.02)82.23% (-1.02 -1.02)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (1 1)26.81% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (1.297 1.3)62.11% (-1.293 -1.29)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05% (0.69 0.69)41.95% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (0.592 0.59)78.39% (-0.589 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 47.04%
    Lorient 24.66%
    Draw 28.28%
AjaccioDrawLorient
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.188 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 47.04%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 11.24% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.66%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Lorient

Ajaccio
25.5%
Draw
12.8%
Lorient
61.7%
47
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 2pm
Ajaccio
1-0
Lorient
Bayala (52')
El Idrissy (4'), Ismael (58')
Oct 4, 2019 7pm
Lorient
0-0
Ajaccio

Hamel (36')

Ismael (51'), Flips (69')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Aug 28, 2018 5.30pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Lorient

Choplin (22')
Courtet (21')
Ponceau (53'), Wadja (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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