Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.27%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Clermont |
44% ( -0.06) | 30.03% ( 0.01) | 25.97% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 39.31% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.86% ( -0.01) | 67.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.64% ( -0.01) | 85.36% ( 0.01) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% ( -0.04) | 30.62% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.14% ( -0.05) | 66.86% ( 0.05) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.65% ( 0.04) | 43.35% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.42% ( 0.03) | 79.58% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 15.7% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 43.99% | 0-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.03% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.02% Total : 25.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |