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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Lyon

Nantes
0 - 0
Lyon


Traore (69'), Corchia (90+4')
FT

Tete (54'), Lukeba (76'), Kumbedi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Clermont
Sunday, January 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-2 Lyon

 Despite the difference in league positions, this feels like an evenly-matched encounter given Lyon's continued inconsistency. Nevertheless, we still feel that the visitors will do enough to come through this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawLyon
29.97% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 24.28% (-0.012 -0.01) 45.75% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.09% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (0.047000000000004 0.05)44.28% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34% (0.047000000000004 0.05)66.65% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.84% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)63.44% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.033999999999992 0.03)19.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63% (0.055999999999997 0.06)51.37% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 29.97%
    Lyon 45.75%
    Draw 24.27%
NantesDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.97%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lyon

Nantes
19.8%
Draw
15.8%
Lyon
64.4%
101
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Lyon
3-2
Nantes
Dembele (9'), Paqueta (78'), Tete (85')
Ndombele (61')
Merlin (81'), Cyprien (90+2')
Kombouare (55')
Aug 27, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Lyon

Da Silva (7'), Kolo (90+3')
Dembele (35')
Da Silva (43')
Da Silva (78')
Apr 18, 2021 8pm
Nantes
1-2
Lyon
Depay (5', 37'), Pallois (60')
Denayer (67')
Dec 23, 2020 8pm
Lyon
3-0
Nantes
Toko Ekambi (4'), Kadewere (37'), Paqueta (44')
Marcelo (14')

Coco (34'), Abeid (56'), Pallois (68')
> Preview
Apr 11, 2020 7pm
Nantes
P-P
Lyon
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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