Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
61.83% | 21.52% | 16.64% |
Both teams to score 50.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.43% | 46.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.16% | 68.84% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.48% | 14.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.46% | 42.53% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.77% | 41.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.24% | 77.76% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.55% 2-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.35% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.53% Total : 61.83% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.52% | 0-1 @ 5.3% 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |