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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Casa Pia

Portimonense
1 - 2
Casa Pia

Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Estrela (11'), Diaby-Fadiga (26'), Klismahn (52'), Pedrao (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
Taira (17'), Soares (33'), Clayton (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Casa Pia
Monday, December 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia

Portimonense and Casa Pia will be looking to quickly bounce back from their respective cup disappointments and mark their return to the Primeira Liga on a high. However, Martin's side have found a way to grind out results away from home this season and we predict that they will come away with a slender victory on Wednesday against an out-of-sorts Portimonense side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawCasa Pia
47.52% (0.601 0.6) 25.41% (-0.14 -0.14) 27.07% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 52.38% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14% (0.273 0.27)50.86% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (0.241 0.24)72.74% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.381 0.38)21.41% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.585 0.59)54.41% (-0.585 -0.59)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-0.223 -0.22)33.35% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.02% (-0.244 -0.24)69.97% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 47.52%
    Casa Pia 27.07%
    Draw 25.41%
PortimonenseDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.52%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.07%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Casa Pia

Portimonense
33.3%
Draw
20.8%
Casa Pia
45.8%
24
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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