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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Braga

Portimonense
1 - 2
Braga

Ouattara (40')
Cariello (44'), Nakamura (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Medeiros (65' pen.), Oliveira (83')
Oliveira (76'), Djalo (87'), Tormena (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Portimonense
Friday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Moreirense
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Portimonense 1-3 Braga

Buoyed by their victory over Gil Vicente, Portimonense will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to put together a fine run of form. However, Braga boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to extend their dominance in the history of this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawBraga
24.95% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 24.89% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 50.16% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)50.29% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (-0.07 -0.07)72.24% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.2% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.79% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)20.06% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71% (-0.1 -0.1)52.29% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 24.95%
    Braga 50.16%
    Draw 24.88%
PortimonenseDrawBraga
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.89% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 24.95%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 11.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.16%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Braga

Portimonense
11.5%
Draw
3.8%
Braga
84.6%
26
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Carmo (63' og.)
Relvas (41')
Moura (5'), Couto (22')
Moura (89')
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
Braga
3-0
Portimonense
Galeno (5', 53'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Medeiros (38'), Elmusrati (47'), Horta (80')

Sa (24'), Willyan (38'), Angulo (38'), Carlinhos (49'), Nakajima (55'), Aponza (80')
May 19, 2021 8pm
Feb 4, 2021 9pm
Braga
2-1
Portimonense
Piazon (62'), Horta (73' pen.)
Boa Morte (23')
Ewerton (60'), Henrique (90+2')
Mar 6, 2020 8.30pm
Braga
3-1
Portimonense
Trincao (31'), Luis (45'), Horta (47')
Boa Morte (90')
Willyan (20'), Costa (28'), Sa (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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