Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca2 - 1Brann
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Arouca and SK Brann.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Sunday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: HamKam 0-2 Brann
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
30
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 21.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 0-1 (7.36%). The likeliest Arouca win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | SK Brann |
21.26% ( -0.15) | 20.49% ( -0) | 58.25% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 62.44% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.47% ( -0.2) | 34.53% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.54% ( -0.22) | 56.46% ( 0.22) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.74% ( -0.25) | 29.26% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.78% ( -0.3) | 65.21% ( 0.3) |
SK Brann Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.26% ( -0.02) | 11.73% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.12% ( -0.04) | 36.88% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca 21.26%
SK Brann 58.25%
Draw 20.49%
Arouca | Draw | SK Brann |
2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 21.26% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.71% 0-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 58.25% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Brann
Arouca
28.6%Draw
28.6%SK Brann
42.9%7
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-09 23:46:04
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 46 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 34 |
7 | Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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