Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Santos Pinto (Covilha)
Sporting Covilha1 - 4Portimonense
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Sporting Covilha and Portimonense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 1-2 Nacional
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Covilha win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Covilha win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Covilha | Draw | Portimonense |
41.29% ( 0.23) | 26.39% ( -0.07) | 32.32% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
