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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Estoril

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Estoril

Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Estoril
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-1 Estoril Praia

Buoyed by their midweek cup victory, Estoril Praia will head into Sunday's games with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the bottom of the table. After a solid start to the campaign, Vitoria de Guimaraes appear to have run out of steam and we fancy the visitors scraping a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
51.77% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 25.4% (0.0040000000000013 0) 22.84% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.38% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (0.042000000000002 0.04)54.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (0.035 0.04)75.53% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.92% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)53.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (0.088999999999999 0.09)38.82% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.085000000000001 0.09)75.55% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.76%
    Estoril Praia 22.84%
    Draw 25.39%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 51.76%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.84%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Estoril

Vitoria de Guimaraes
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')
Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')
Aug 13, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Estoril
0-0
Guimaraes
Africo (1'), Crespo (90+4')
Semedo (40'), Silva (79'), Rochinha (90+2')
Semedo (56')
Jan 21, 2018 8.15pm
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Hurtado (20'), Raphinha (48'), Heldon (93')
N'Clomande (27'), Wakaso (45'), Henrique (70'), Heldon (71')
Claro (45')
Fonseca (71'), Rodrigues (76')
Abner (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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