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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Estoril
0 - 1
Guimaraes


Delos (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Safira (11')
Amaro (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Buoyed by Monday's victory over Chaves, Vitoria de Guimaraes will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they resume their push for a place in Europe. Estoril Praia have lost four of their last five matches and we predict that Os Vimaranenses will leave with a slender victory against the floundering hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
31.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.92% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 39.73% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.98% (-0.1 -0.1)62.02% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.25% (-0.073 -0.07)81.75% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.058 -0.06)36.02% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)72.8% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)30.48% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)66.69% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 31.34%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.73%
    Draw 28.91%
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 31.34%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.97% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 13.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 39.73%

How you voted: Estoril vs Guimaraes

Estoril Praia
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
42.9%
28
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')
Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')
Aug 13, 2021 8.15pm
Estoril
0-0
Guimaraes

Africo (1'), Crespo (90+4')

Semedo (40'), Silva (79'), Rochinha (90+2')
Semedo (56')
Jan 21, 2018 8.15pm
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Hurtado (20'), Raphinha (48'), Heldon (93')
N'Clomande (27'), Wakaso (45'), Henrique (70'), Heldon (71')
Claro (45')
Fonseca (71'), Rodrigues (76')
Abner (9')
Aug 14, 2017 7pm
Estoril
3-0
Guimaraes
Monteiro (18'), Kleber (63' pen., 80')
Wesley (25')
Wesley (38')

Hurtado (11'), Vigario (45')
Vigario (49'), Sa (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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