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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Porto

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Porto


Janvier (17'), Silva (57'), Luz (71'), Safira (87'), Amaro (90'), Nogueira (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mario (45+2')
Otavio (35'), Pepe (41'), Wendell (47'), Marcano (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, January 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Porto

After accumulating 11 victories in 16 Primeira Liga matches this season, we can envision Porto culminating an end-to-end 90 minutes with a 12th success under their footballing belt come Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
14.09% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09) 20.82% (-0.102 -0.1) 65.09% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 46.52% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.227 0.23)48.41% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (0.207 0.21)70.55% (-0.206 -0.21)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)81.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.9% (0.134 0.13)14.1% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.28% (0.26 0.26)41.72% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.09%
    Porto 65.09%
    Draw 20.82%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.04% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.09%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 12.66% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 8.1% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.97% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.09% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.012 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.55% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 65.09%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Porto

Vitoria de Guimaraes
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Porto
81.8%
33
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Estupinan (12'), Janvier (73'), Esteves (88'), Duarte (90+8'), Rochinha (90+8')
Estupinan (80')
Taremi (36' pen.)
Otavio (30'), Costa (90+2')
Nov 28, 2021 8.30pm
Porto
2-1
Guimaraes
Diaz (39'), Evanilson (60')
Sanusi (34'), Oliveira (45+4'), Wendell (80')
Edwards (36' pen.)
Amaro (11'), Handel (42'), Mumin (45+3'), Sacko (79'), Semedo (85')
Mumin (53')
Apr 22, 2021 9pm
Dec 29, 2020 9pm
Guimaraes
2-3
Porto
Rochinha (7'), Estupinan (63')
Mensah (15'), Pepelu (26')
Taremi (42', 65'), Diaz (80')
Baro (12')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Guimaraes
1-2
Porto
Duarte (49')
Jesus (10' og.), Marega (60')
Luis (44'), Marega (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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