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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Porto
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Diaz (39'), Evanilson (60')
Sanusi (34'), Oliveira (45+4'), Wendell (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Edwards (36' pen.)
Amaro (11'), Handel (42'), Mumin (45+3'), Sacko (79'), Semedo (85')
Mumin (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Porto 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Porto will be looking to restore some pride after their Champions League defeat at the hands of Liverpool last time out. They have been solid at both ends of the pitch so far and we predict they will continue to edge out the visitors and come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
70.43%18.16%11.41%
Both teams to score 47.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8%43.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4%65.6%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.96%11.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.64%35.36%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.09%46.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.58%82.42%
Score Analysis
    Porto 70.43%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 11.41%
    Draw 18.16%
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 12.57%
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 9.24%
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 5.09%
4-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.65%
5-0 @ 2.24%
5-1 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 70.43%
1-1 @ 8.64%
0-0 @ 5.18%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 18.16%
0-1 @ 3.92%
1-2 @ 3.27%
0-2 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 11.41%

How you voted: Porto vs Guimaraes

Porto
92.0%
Draw
8.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 28
Porto
1-0
Guimaraes
Marega (49')
Mensah (55'), Marega (74')
Dec 29, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-3
Porto
Rochinha (7'), Estupinan (63')
Mensah (15'), Pepelu (26')
Taremi (42', 65'), Diaz (80')
Baro (12')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Guimaraes
1-2
Porto
Duarte (49')
Jesus (10' og.), Marega (60')
Luis (44'), Marega (61')
Sep 1, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 4
Porto
3-0
Guimaraes
Marega (14', 93'), Marcano (88')
Corona (17'), Diaz (32'), Marcano (71')

Henrique (12'), Sacko (53'), Davidson (78')
Tapsoba (1'), Davidson (79')
Feb 3, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 20
Guimaraes
0-0
Porto
Wakaso (90')
Torres (65'), Hernani (96'), Telles (98'), Herrera (98')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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