Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
