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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Benfica

Estoril
1 - 5
Benfica

Serginho (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, October 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 1-6 Benfica
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Benfica

Benfica head into the weekend as one of the most in-form sides in the division and will be backing themselves against an Estoril Praia side who have struggled for results on home turf. Looking at past results between the sides, we are tipping Schmidt's side to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.56%) and 0-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
8.49% (-0.515 -0.52) 15.2% (-0.524 -0.52) 76.32% (1.041 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.6% (0.736 0.74)38.4% (-0.732 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (0.775 0.77)60.69% (-0.773 -0.77)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39% (-0.654 -0.65)49.61% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62% (-0.462 -0.46)84.38% (0.465 0.47)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (0.414 0.41)8.38% (-0.4111 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (1.012 1.01)29.16% (-1.009 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 8.49%
    Benfica 76.3%
    Draw 15.2%
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 2.91% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 2.53% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-0 @ 1.02% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 8.49%
1-1 @ 7.23% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 15.2%
0-2 @ 12.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 10.56% (0.25 0.25)
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 7.4% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-4 @ 6.55% (0.279 0.28)
1-4 @ 4.59% (0.112 0.11)
0-5 @ 3.25% (0.198 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.28% (0.098 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.34% (0.106 0.11)
1-6 @ 0.94% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 76.3%

How you voted: Estoril vs Benfica

Estoril Praia
8.9%
Draw
1.8%
Benfica
89.3%
56
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
Oct 30, 2021 7pm
Estoril
1-1
Benfica
Rosier (90')
Lourenco (42'), Africo (54'), Geraldes (90+4')
Verissimo (2')
Radonjic (55'), Verissimo (75')
Mar 4, 2021 8.15pm
Benfica
2-0
Estoril
Ramos (43'), Waldschmidt (90')
Tavares (29'), Pizzi (30')

Thierry Lazare (15')
Feb 11, 2021 8.15pm
Estoril
1-3
Benfica
Vidigal (24')
Clovis (12'), Gomes (64')
Nunez (45', 78'), Seferovic (69')
Goncalves (8'), Otamendi (75'), Taarabt (82')
Apr 21, 2018 8.30pm
Estoril
1-2
Benfica
Halliche (63')
Ailton (24'), Allano (51'), Eduardo (74'), Valente (86')
Silva (10'), Salvio (92')
Almeida (72'), Salvio (94'), Varela (96')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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