Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Estoril Praia |
73.52% | 16.92% | 9.56% |
Both teams to score 44.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.07% | 42.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.67% | 65.33% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.83% | 10.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.58% | 33.42% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.72% | 50.28% |