Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril1 - 0Tondela
We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Tondela
Estoril Praia continue to struggle for form at the business end of the season following an impressive start to their top-flight campaign. Tondela have been decent away from home in recent weeks, claiming two wins and two draws from four games and will look to continue their charge away from the drop zone. However, we predict the spoils will be shared in this one with both sides settling for one point apiece. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Tondela |
| 42.44% | 27.05% | 30.51% |
| Both teams to score 49.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
