Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
35.23% | 27.95% | 36.83% |
Both teams to score 47.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.92% | 58.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.25% | 78.75% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% | 31.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.38% | 67.62% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% | 30.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% | 66.44% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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