Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 18, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela0 - 1Pacos de Ferreira
We said: Tondela 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
With just two points between the sides on the log, we expect a cagey and fiercely-contested affair on Saturday. However, we predict the spoils will be shared as both sides are evenly matched on paper. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 37.18% | 27.73% | 35.1% |
| Both teams to score 48.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
