Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 11, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes5 - 2Tondela
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Tondela
After a slow start to the season, Tondela will head into this one seeking to claim all three points and strengthen their position in the top half of the table. However, they have struggled to get going on the road this term, managing just one win and losing five in six games. It could be a close one to call considering both sides are evenly matched on paper and we anticipate a share of the spoils at full time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Tondela |
| 57.58% | 23.11% | 19.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
