Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Sporting Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Estoril Praia
Sporting Lisbon will be looking to restore some pride following their humbling defeat at the hands of Manchester City. While Estoril Praia will be looking to build on their win over Tondela, we are backing the Leoes to come away with a comfortable win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 57.51% | 22.75% | 19.74% |
| Both teams to score 52.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
