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Benfica
Taca da Liga | Final
Jan 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Everton (23')
Vertonghen (53'), Everton (58'), Mario (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Inacio (49'), Sarabia (78')
Neto (31'), Paulinho (53'), Nunes (59'), Esgaio (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Benfica 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Saturday's game sees two of the "Big Three" in Portugal square off for cup glory and we can expect an entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action. However, we are backing Sporting Lisbon to come away with a narrow win and extend their dominance domestically. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
45.14%24.27%30.58%
Both teams to score 58.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07%43.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69%66.32%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39%19.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44%51.56%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75%27.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32%62.68%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 45.15%
    Sporting Lisbon 30.58%
    Draw 24.27%
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-1 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.58%

How you voted: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
33.3%
Draw
14.8%
Sporting Lisbon
51.9%
27
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 13
Benfica
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Pizzi (90+6')
Vertonghen (22'), Weigl (27'), Taarabt (89')
Sarabia (8'), Paulinho (62'), Nunes (68')
Feddal (1'), Paulinho (1'), Porro (20'), Sarabia (33'), Goncalves (45+3'), Esgaio (73')
May 15, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
4-3
Sporting Lisbon
Seferovic (12', 49' pen.), Pizzi (29'), Verissimo (37')
Grimaldo (7'), Verissimo (38'), Otamendi (43'), Gabriel (57'), Tavares (87'), Nunez (90+2')
Goncalves (45+1', 77'), Santos (62')
Reis (31'), Mendes (57'), Mario (65'), Goncalves (90+2')
Feb 1, 2021 9.30pm
Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Benfica
Nunes (90+2')
Tomas (15'), Neto (40'), Tabata (90+5')

Gilberto (13'), Weigl (16'), Otamendi (53'), Pizzi (75'), Gabriel (79')
Jul 25, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 34
Benfica
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Seferovic (28'), Vinicius (88')
Dias (20'), Gabriel (22'), Almeida (73'), Vinicius (90+4')
Sporar (69')
Neto (36'), Cabral (71'), Wendel (77')
Jan 17, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 17
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Benfica

Acuna (30'), Phellype (57'), Plata (90'), Mathieu (93')
Silva (80', 99')
Gabriel (26'), Chiquinho (58'), Cervi (95'), Vlachodimos (99')
rhs 2.0
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