Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.13%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.5% | 22.74% | 62.77% |
Both teams to score 42.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% | 55.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.71% | 76.29% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.75% | 49.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.86% | 84.13% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% | 17.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.73% | 47.27% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.96% 2-1 @ 3.73% 2-0 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.7% Total : 14.5% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 14.86% 0-2 @ 13.13% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-4 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-5 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |