Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.11% ( -0.75) | 27.63% ( -0.37) | 39.26% ( 1.12) |
Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.88% ( 1.28) | 57.12% ( -1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.01% ( 1.01) | 77.99% ( -1.01) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( 0.15) | 32.18% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% ( 0.17) | 68.67% ( -0.17) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.65% ( 1.28) | 28.35% ( -1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.91% ( 1.58) | 64.09% ( -1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.1% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |