MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 06:03:21| >> :600:1568160:1568160:
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Taca da Liga | Second Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Tondela

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Tondela


Fernandes (28'), Safira (31'), Andre (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
dos Anjos (56')
Bebeto (17'), Rocha (22'), dos Anjos (50'), Manuel Rodrigues Vieira Silva (60'), Gomes (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Tondela

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Tondela (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 29 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 Tondela

 With Turra likely to make a few changes, the gulf in class between the clubs may not be as evident, but the Primeira Liga side should get the job done. Tondela are on a woeful run of form and arresting it here appears unlikely against one of the form sides in Portugal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawTondela
51.59% (1.474 1.47) 25.7% (-0.594 -0.59) 22.72% (-0.878 -0.88)
Both teams to score 47.4% (0.70200000000001 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (1.41 1.41)55.34% (-1.409 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (1.144 1.14)76.55% (-1.143 -1.14)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (1.227 1.23)21.49% (-1.227 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (1.852 1.85)54.54% (-1.851 -1.85)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)39.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.69% (-0.044 -0.04)76.31% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.58%
    Tondela 22.72%
    Draw 25.7%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawTondela
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.282 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.254 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.115 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.58%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.475 -0.48)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.45 -0.45)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Tondela

Vitoria de Guimaraes
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Tondela
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Tondela
1-1
Guimaraes
Barbosa (63')
Undabarrena (38'), dos Anjos (42')
Soares (67')
Estupinan (2'), Silva (22'), Semedo (70'), Almeida (77')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 14
Guimaraes
5-2
Tondela
Silva (32' pen.), Estupinan (41' pen.), Edwards (62' pen., 83'), Lameiras (88')
Handel (8'), Borevkovic (14'), Mumin (45')
Pedro (18' pen.), Undabarrena (27')
Almeida (28'), Quaresma (40'), Khacef (45+5'), Borges (57')
Hernando (61')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Guimaraes
1-2
Tondela
Estupinan (39')
Fonseca Amaro (52'), Fernandes (80')
Gonzalez (27', 76')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 8
Tondela
0-2
Guimaraes

Pedro (47')
Agra (73')
Andre (56' pen.), Duarte (63')
Almeida (54'), Maddox (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
2-0
Tondela
Duarte (24'), Andre (41')
Venancio (48')

Sampaio (76'), Moufi (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!