Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.