Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto2 - 1Braga
We said: Porto 3-1 Braga
Braga have lost each of their last four Primeira Liga visits to the Estadio do Dragao and are in for another tough 90 against a Porto side who are unbeaten in 10 straight competitive home games. While we expect Carvalhal's men to put up a fight, Porto boast the firepower needed to get the job done, and we are backing them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
58.27% ( 0.32) | 21.52% ( -0.13) | 20.21% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
