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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Braga

Porto
2 - 1
Braga

Galeno (45+1' pen.), Pepe (59')
Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes (11'), Mario (19'), Carvalho (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandes (54')
Ferreira (43'), Carvalho (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-3 Man Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-0 Braga
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Porto 3-1 Braga

Braga have lost each of their last four Primeira Liga visits to the Estadio do Dragao and are in for another tough 90 against a Porto side who are unbeaten in 10 straight competitive home games. While we expect Carvalhal's men to put up a fight, Porto boast the firepower needed to get the job done, and we are backing them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawBraga
58.27% (0.321 0.32) 21.52% (-0.125 -0.13) 20.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.307 0.31)40.92% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.313 0.31)63.31% (-0.308 -0.31)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.20399999999999 0.2)13.78% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91% (0.395 0.39)41.09% (-0.39 -0.39)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)70.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Porto 58.27%
    Braga 20.21%
    Draw 21.51%
PortoDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.21%

How you voted: Porto vs Braga

Porto
82.9%
Draw
12.2%
Braga
4.9%
41
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 34
Braga
0-1
Porto

Gomez (8'), Oliveira (13'), Borja (79')
Gomez (12')
Galeno (84')
Conceicao (31')
Jan 14, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Porto
2-0
Braga
Cardoso (12'), Evanilson (49' pen.)
Pepe (25'), Gonzalez (62'), Conceicao (66'), Conceicao (66')

Horta (26'), Carvalho (45+2'), Oliveira (79'), Djalo (82'), Fonte (90+1')
Jun 4, 2023 5.15pm
Final
Braga
0-2
Porto

Horta (29'), Borja (35'), Gomez (66'), Bruma (85')
Niakate (79')
Horta (53' og.), Otavio (81')
Otavio (25'), Galeno (60'), Conceicao (66'), Uribe (72'), Taremi (76'), Pepe (85')
Wendell (62')
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Braga
0-0
Porto
Sep 30, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 8
Porto
4-1
Braga
Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')
Pepe (55' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15AroucaArouca10217619-137
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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