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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 6, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Estoril

Braga
2 - 2
Estoril

Bruma (16', 56' pen.)
Martinez (52'), Arrey-Mbi (64'), Fernandez (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marques (68' pen.), Costa (82')
Bacher (54'), Costa (72'), Lacximicant (85'), Robles (90+3'), Carvalho (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 0-1 Braga
Sunday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, December 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Estoril Praia

Only Sporting have prevented Braga from securing maximum points in the Liga in the last four, and the hosts should return to winning ways in front of their fans against an Estoril side that are winless on their travels this term and through the calendar year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
64.23% (0.75000000000001 0.75) 19.19% (-0.162 -0.16) 16.57% (-0.592 -0.59)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.746 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.96% (-0.358 -0.36)36.04% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.86% (-0.392 -0.39)58.13% (0.389 0.39)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (0.084000000000003 0.08)10.62% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (0.19199999999999 0.19)34.43% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)34.9% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.954 -0.95)71.64% (0.95100000000001 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.23%
    Estoril Praia 16.57%
    Draw 19.19%
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.11% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.91% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.75% (0.062 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 64.23%
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.19%
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 16.57%

How you voted: Braga vs Estoril

Braga
95.7%
Draw
2.2%
Estoril Praia
2.2%
46
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 29
Estoril
0-1
Braga
Djalo (64')
Carvalho (86')
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Final
Braga
1-1
Estoril
(Aggregate 1-1 | Braga win 5-4 on penalties)
Horta (20')
Fonte (5'), Djalo (22'), Horta (64')
Cassiano (6' pen.)
Araujo (37'), Fernandes (43'), Pina (45+1'), Guitane (62'), Figueira (83'), Marques (90+5')
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
3-1
Estoril
Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Braga
4-1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Eduardo (48')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
0-2
Braga
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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