Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
42.84% | 28.06% | 29.1% |
Both teams to score 45.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.24% | 59.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.95% | 80.05% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% | 27.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% | 63.16% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.49% | 36.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.71% | 73.29% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
16 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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