Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Fulham |
40.01% ( 0.63) | 23.86% ( 0.02) | 36.12% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% ( -0.18) | 40.3% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% ( -0.19) | 62.67% ( 0.18) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% ( 0.22) | 20.38% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.2% ( 0.34) | 52.79% ( -0.34) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( -0.42) | 22.29% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% ( -0.63) | 55.75% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Fulham |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
> Premier League Full Table |