MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 04:04:02| >> :600:134855:134855:
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Fiorentina logo

Guimaraes
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Gustavo (33')
Gustavo (42'), Silva (45+1'), Silva (50'), Varela (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mandragora (87')
Kouame (66'), Manuel Gomes Borges (75'), Palladino (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Guimaraes
Monday, December 16 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-2 Fiorentina

A formidable proposition on home turf, Vitoria can expect to pick up the point they need to ensure a last-16 spot. Fiorentina have been beaten by Empoli and Bologna in recent weeks, so their sheen of invincibility seems to be wearing off - other results could decide whether they slip into the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFiorentina
42.07% (-0.479 -0.48) 27.49% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 30.44% (0.494 0.49)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.75% (0.20200000000001 0.2)57.26% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9% (0.16 0.16)78.1% (-0.152 -0.15)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)26.86% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)62.17% (0.219 0.22)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (0.474 0.47)34.14% (-0.467 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (0.506 0.51)70.83% (-0.499 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.07%
    Fiorentina 30.44%
    Draw 27.48%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.07%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.095 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Fiorentina

Vitoria de Guimaraes
27.2%
Draw
25.6%
Fiorentina
47.2%
125
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