MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 14:21:13| >> :600:137226:137226:
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 0
New Saints

Adli (65'), Kean (69')
Kouame (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-6 New Saints
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

We said: Fiorentina 3-0 The New Saints

Fiorentina are not likely to field a full-strength team, but their squad depth should be sufficient to avoid a slip-up against TNS. The Serie A side have accrued plenty of experience in this competition since 2022, while their visitors are just embarking on an historic first quest into the league phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawThe New Saints
56.68% (-0.746 -0.75) 21.09% (0.417 0.42) 22.23% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 61.69% (-1.058 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.86% (-1.593 -1.59)36.14% (1.593 1.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.75% (-1.768 -1.77)58.25% (1.769 1.77)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.3% (-0.724 -0.72)12.7% (0.725 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.1% (-1.516 -1.52)38.9% (1.518 1.52)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (-0.621 -0.62)29.33% (0.622 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (-0.766 -0.77)65.31% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 56.68%
    The New Saints 22.23%
    Draw 21.09%
FiorentinaDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.189 0.19)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.391 0.39)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.146 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.68%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.101 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.278 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 22.23%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs New Saints

Fiorentina
94.5%
Draw
5.5%
The New Saints
0.0%
73
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
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5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
9Aston Villa2410773437-337
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11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15Everton246992530-527
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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