MX23RW : Monday, December 30 17:55:09| >> :120:72544:72544:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 0
New Saints

Adli (65'), Kean (69')
Kouame (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Serie A

The New Saints

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newtown 1-6 New Saints
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

We said: Fiorentina 3-0 The New Saints

 Fiorentina are not likely to field a full-strength team, but their squad depth should be sufficient to avoid a slip-up against TNS. The Serie A side have accrued plenty of experience in this competition since 2022, while their visitors are just embarking on an historic first quest into the league phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawThe New Saints
56.68% (-0.746 -0.75) 21.09% (0.417 0.42) 22.23% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 61.69% (-1.058 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.86% (-1.593 -1.59)36.14% (1.593 1.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.75% (-1.768 -1.77)58.25% (1.769 1.77)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.3% (-0.724 -0.72)12.7% (0.725 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.1% (-1.516 -1.52)38.9% (1.518 1.52)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (-0.621 -0.62)29.33% (0.622 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (-0.766 -0.77)65.31% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 56.68%
    The New Saints 22.23%
    Draw 21.09%
FiorentinaDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.189 0.19)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.391 0.39)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.146 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.68%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.101 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.278 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 22.23%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs New Saints

Fiorentina
94.5%
Draw
5.5%
The New Saints
0.0%
73
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
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4Chelsea18105338211735
5Manchester CityMan City199463226631
6Bournemouth198652923630
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton186842726126
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


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