Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 69.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.