MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:29:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo

Freiburg
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Eggestein (5'), Doan (89')
Hofler (67'), Petersen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stiller (48')
Kabak (52'), Geiger (73'), Brooks (84'), Akpoguma (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Hoffenheim

 Freiburg have only lost once in their last eight games against Hoffenheim, and the form book suggests they will add to that impressive recent run of form against their upcoming opponents here. With Hoffenheim breaking unwanted club records with regularity of late, they will need a big performance to get anything from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
54.72% (-0.293 -0.29) 22.49% (0.099 0.1) 22.79% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.96% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)42.04% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (-0.229 -0.23)64.44% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (-0.176 -0.18)15.29% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)44% (0.332 0.33)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.045000000000002 0.05)32.15% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.052 0.05)68.63% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 54.72%
    Hoffenheim 22.79%
    Draw 22.48%
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.79%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Hoffenheim

Freiburg
83.1%
Draw
3.1%
Hoffenheim
13.8%
65
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 6.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-0
Freiburg

Gunter (56')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-4
Freiburg
Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')
Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
Hoffenheim
1-4
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (53' og.)
Richards (32'), Geiger (79')
Grifo (10', 35'), Schade (55'), Demirovic (68')
Schade (27')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-2
Hoffenheim
Schlotterbeck (21')
Lienhart (16'), Kubler (87'), Holer (90+3'), Gunter (90+5')
Raum (3'), Richards (90+4')
Posch (38'), Akpoguma (61'), Vogt (80')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
Hoffenheim
Grifo (81' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (50')
Kramaric (40')
Bebou (48'), Samassekou (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!