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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Maxim Choupo-Moting (31'), Coman (40'), Musiala (45+1')
Pavard (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Thorsby (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 Union Berlin

Given that Bayern Munich have struggled to turn draws into wins this season, we can see a resilient Union Berlin outfit leaving the Allianz Arena with a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
76.77% (-0.101 -0.1) 14.65% (0.058 0.06) 8.59% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (-0.137 -0.14)35.2% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.79% (-0.152 -0.15)57.21% (0.152 0.15)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)7.54% (0.0511 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.97% (-0.136 -0.14)27.03% (0.134 0.13)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.88%47.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.42%82.58%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 76.76%
    Union Berlin 8.59%
    Draw 14.65%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 76.76%
1-1 @ 6.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.025 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 14.65%
0-1 @ 2.67% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 8.59%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
66.7%
Draw
18.4%
Union Berlin
14.9%
141
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 12, 2020 5.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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