Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 41%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.