Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 89.52%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 3.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.17%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | VfL Bochum |
89.52% ( 0.04) | 7.13% ( -0.03) | 3.35% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.5% ( 0.04) | 18.5% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
64.07% ( 0.06) | 35.92% ( -0.06) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.54% ( 0.01) | 2.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.42% ( 0.04) | 11.58% ( -0.04) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.19% ( -0.04) | 49.81% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.47% ( -0.03) | 84.52% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | VfL Bochum |
3-0 @ 10.38% 4-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.71% 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 7-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 7-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 8-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 4.5% Total : 89.51% | 1-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 7.13% | 1-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 3.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |