MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 00:11:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
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Hertha Berlin
0 - 2
Union Berlin


Boateng (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doekhi (44'), Seguin (67')
Khedira (49'), Seguin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-5 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Union Berlin

 Hertha's relative solidity under Schwarz prior to the World Cup appears to have gone out of the window since returning to action last weekend, with disappointing defeats to VfL Bochum and Wolfsburg seeing them drop into the automatic relegation places . As such, we are struggling to see beyond a fifth consecutive victory for Union in the Berlin derby, with Fischer's side looking well set to challenge for a Champions League qualification position once again this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
30.2% (0.073 0.07) 25.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 44.16% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-0.173 -0.17)50.09% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-0.154 -0.15)72.06% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)30.61% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.84% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.133 -0.13)22.62% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.198 -0.2)56.24% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 30.2%
    Union Berlin 44.16%
    Draw 25.63%
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 44.16%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Union Berlin

Hertha Berlin
10.4%
Draw
3.9%
Union Berlin
85.7%
77
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
3-1
Hertha Berlin
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (50'), Knoche (54')
Knoche (35'), Leweling (90+3')
Lukebakio (85')
Uremovic (52'), Sunjic (77'), Lukebakio (87')
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Union Berlin
Baumgartl (49' og.)
Lotka (13'), Jovetic (20'), Kempf (61'), Tousart (65')
Haraguchi (31'), Promel (53'), Becker (74'), Michel (85')
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Union Berlin
Khedira (54' og.), Serdar (90+5')
Serdar (15')
Voglsammer (11'), Stark (50' og.), Knoche (55')
Oztunali (43')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Hertha Berlin
Awoniyi (8'), Trimmel (30')
Promel (66')

Serdar (38')
Apr 4, 2021 5pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Andrich (10')
Ryerson (17'), Promel (28')
Lukebakio (35' pen.)
Guendouzi (28'), Tousart (45'), Torunarigha (53'), Ascacibar (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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