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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
29.42% ( -0.48) | 23.2% ( -0.13) | 47.37% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 61.57% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.45% ( 0.32) | 39.54% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.11% ( 0.33) | 61.89% ( -0.34) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( -0.15) | 25.82% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.22% ( -0.2) | 60.78% ( 0.19) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( 0.35) | 16.99% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% ( 0.62) | 47.1% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.42% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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