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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Koln logo

Borussia M'bach
5 - 2
FC Koln

Friedrich (27'), Bensebaini (45+2' pen., 76'), Stindl (47'), Thuram (90+1')
Stindl (7'), Bensebaini (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kainz (31' pen.), Huseinbasic (83')
Kainz (11'), Skhiri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Partizan
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 FC Koln

Looking at recent results between the sides, Koln head into the weekend as slight favourites to come away with the desired results. However, Monchengladbach have been near impenetrable on their home turf this season and we predict that they will squeeze out a narrow victory to end their losing streak against Baumgart's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFC Koln
40.08% (0.243 0.24) 23.49% (-0.026 -0.03) 36.43% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 63.33% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (0.111 0.11)38.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (0.115 0.12)60.7% (-0.115 -0.12)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.16 0.16)19.54% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.257 0.26)51.45% (-0.256 -0.26)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.28% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)54.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 40.08%
    FC Koln 36.43%
    Draw 23.48%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 40.08%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs FC Koln

Borussia Monchengladbach
67.1%
Draw
15.8%
FC Koln
17.1%
76
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-3
FC Koln
Embolo (85')
Kone (45'), Plea (65'), Elvedi (86')
Modeste (5'), Kainz (20'), Ljubicic (34')
Hector (69'), Hubers (72')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
FC Koln
4-1
Borussia M'bach
Ljubicic (55'), Uth (77'), Duda (78'), Andersson (90+3')
Duda (60')
Hofmann (74')
Sommer (60'), Zakaria (64'), Thuram (90')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-2
FC Koln
Neuhaus (16')
Stindl (2'), Herrmann (27'), Jantschke (75'), Neuhaus (90+5')
Rexhbecaj (3', 55')
Ehizibue (80'), Rexhbecaj (86')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
1-3
Borussia M'bach
Rexhbecaj (84')
Ehizibue (31'), Rexhbecaj (35'), Sorensen (90')
Plea (14'), Lainer (16'), Stindl (56' pen.)
Bensebaini (31'), Herrmann (82'), Lainer (90+2')
Mar 11, 2020 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
2-1
FC Koln
Embolo (32'), Mere (70' og.)
Thuram (88')
Uth (80')
Kainz (33'), Uth (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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