MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 19:52:08| >> :600:191741:191741:
Nice
Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 6.40pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Koln logo

Nice
1 - 1
FC Koln

Delort (62' pen.)
Boudaoui (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tigges (19')
Hector (59'), Hubers (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Nice and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, September 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 FC Koln
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Nice 1-1 FC Koln

Given their amount of injuries, Koln are likely to name a more settled starting XI, but we can envisage a share of the spoils here. Both sides will fancy their chances of progressing from the group, so they may be happy to avoid defeat and prioritise winning their matches against the other two sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NiceDrawFC Koln
44.33% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 24.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.49% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.1% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.5% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)65.5% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (0.036999999999992 0.04)19.63% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.42% (0.060000000000002 0.06)51.58% (-0.058 -0.06)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)26.26% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)61.38% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Nice 44.33%
    FC Koln 31.49%
    Draw 24.18%
NiceDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 44.33%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.49%

How you voted: Nice vs FC Koln

Nice
47.7%
Draw
26.2%
FC Koln
26.2%
65
rhs 2.0
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