MX23RW : Monday, January 27 19:41:40| >> :600:1981712:1981712:
Koln logo
Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
4 - 2
Slovacko

Adamyan (10'), Dietz (42'), Ljubicic (65' pen., 74')
Duda (2'), Martel (36'), Maina (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kalabiska (49'), Petrzela (52')
Travnik (55'), Svedik (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Koln and FC Slovacko, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovacko 3-3 Partizan
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: FC Koln 2-1 FC Slovacko

Although Koln have failed to win any of their last three home games, we think that they have enough quality in their squad to beat an FC Slovacko side who are winless in their previous five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for FC Slovacko had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Slovacko win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawFC Slovacko
45.54% (0.061 0.06) 23.84% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 30.61% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 60% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.33 0.33)41.94% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.33 0.33)64.34% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (0.155 0.16)18.65% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (0.261 0.26)49.96% (-0.264 -0.26)
FC Slovacko Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.166 0.17)26.24% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (0.22 0.22)61.35% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.54%
    FC Slovacko 30.62%
    Draw 23.84%
FC KolnDrawFC Slovacko
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 45.54%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Slovacko

FC Koln
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
FC Slovacko
0.0%
38
rhs 2.0
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