MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:51:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 2
Hertha Berlin

Forsberg (25'), Diallo (30'), Orban (45')
Haidara (38'), Kampl (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Lukebakio (62' pen.), Jovetic (64')
Kempf (32'), Plattenhardt (41'), Rogel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 0-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Hertha Berlin

Hertha will be the fresher team having not played in midweek and they should make life difficult for Leipzig, especially having put together an impressive unbeaten run. However, there is little doubt that the hosts have much greater attacking firepower, and this should help them secure a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHertha Berlin
68.7% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 18.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 13.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.84% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)37.59% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.83% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.05% (0.013999999999996 0.01)9.94% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.1% (0.036000000000001 0.04)32.9% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79%40.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.84% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 68.7%
    Hertha Berlin 13.29%
    Draw 18.01%
RB LeipzigDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.01%
1-2 @ 3.83% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 13.29%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin

RB Leipzig
81.0%
Draw
10.1%
Hertha Berlin
8.9%
79
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 6.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-6
RB Leipzig
Jovetic (48')
Richter (25'), Ascacibar (84')
Kempf (62')
Henrichs (20'), Nkunku (64' pen., 67'), Olmo (74'), Haidara (81'), Poulsen (88')
Gvardiol (34'), Tedesco (45'), Nkunku (64'), Haidara (84')
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
6-0
Hertha Berlin
Nkunku (16', 70'), Poulsen (23'), Mukiele (45+3'), Forsberg (60' pen.), Haidara (77')
Mukiele (62')

Darida (25'), Stark (59'), Plattenhardt (85')
Feb 21, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Hertha Berlin
Upamecano (11'), Sabitzer (77' pen.)
Upamecano (48')
Cordoba (8')
Tousart (17'), Zeefuik (47'), Labbadia (90+1'), Ngankam (90+2')
Zeefuik (50')
May 27, 2020 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Hertha Berlin
Klostermann (24'), Schick (68')
Halstenberg (45+4')
Halstenberg (63')
Grujic (9'), Piatek (82' pen.)
Pekarik (42'), Torunarigha (57'), Cunha (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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