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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
VfL Bochum

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
VfL Bochum

Werner (15', 53'), Nkunku (23' pen., 85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Soares (19'), Horn (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 VfL Bochum

Bochum should be better organised and more motivated in Letsch's first game in charge of them, but we are struggling to see beyond a comfortable home win. After an unconvincing start to the campaign, Leipzig know that they need to start winning more matches sooner rather than later, and are unlikely to pass up a golden opportunity on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawVfL Bochum
66.74% (0.842 0.84) 18.18% (-0.333 -0.33) 15.07% (-0.506 -0.51)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.79% (0.554 0.55)34.21% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.89% (0.624 0.62)56.1% (-0.621 -0.62)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5% (0.35000000000001 0.35)9.5% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.14% (0.81700000000001 0.82)31.86% (-0.815 -0.81)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (-0.277 -0.28)35.57% (0.27800000000001 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (-0.287 -0.29)72.34% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 66.75%
    VfL Bochum 15.07%
    Draw 18.18%
RB LeipzigDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.59% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.115 0.12)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.086 0.09)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.097 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 66.75%
1-1 @ 8.22% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.18%
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.07%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum

RB Leipzig
Draw
VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig
83.8%
Draw
10.3%
VfL Bochum
5.9%
68
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 3, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
VfL Bochum
Haidara (11'), Sabitzer (45+1' pen.), Poulsen (66', 75')
Angelino (60'), Hee-chan (88')

Masovic (24'), Drewes (45+1'), Soares (63'), Raman Chibsah (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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