MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:31:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Freiburg logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 2
Freiburg

Lukebakio (34' pen.), Serdar (61')
Rogel (43'), Kenny (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kyereh (22'), Schade (78')
Doan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Nantes
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Freiburg

No Gregoritsch will make this a difficult day for Freiburg and Hertha have been defensively resolute for the most part this season. They could spring a surprise, but a draw is a more likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawFreiburg
27.47% (0.325 0.32) 24.63% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 47.9% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 55.19% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (0.34 0.34)47.32% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.316 0.32)69.54% (-0.315 -0.31)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (0.425 0.42)31.17% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (0.492 0.49)67.51% (-0.491 -0.49)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (0.012 0.01)19.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)51.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 27.47%
    Freiburg 47.9%
    Draw 24.63%
Hertha BerlinDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.065 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.47%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.09% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.9%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Freiburg

Hertha Berlin
25.3%
Draw
11.6%
Freiburg
63.2%
95
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (12' pen.), Schade (83'), Holer (86')
Hofler (21')

Jovetic (24'), Andre Bjorkan (74')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Freiburg
Piatek (70')
Boateng (29'), Serdar (69'), Jastrzembski (90+4')
Lienhart (17'), Petersen (78')
May 6, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Freiburg
Piatek (13'), Pekarik (22'), Radonjic (85')
Alderete (20'), Guendouzi (38'), Torunarigha (64'), Darida (69')

Hofler (36'), Demirovic (42'), Sallai (80')
Dec 20, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
4-1
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (7'), Demirovic (59'), Gulde (67'), Petersen (90+4' pen.)
Lukebakio (52')
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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