Lorient

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PSG

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.