MX23RW : Monday, September 16 18:50:55| >> :60:3116:3116:
Red Star Belgrade
Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic

Red Star
2 - 0
Bodo/Glimt

Duarte (26' pen.), Spajic (59')
Elsnik (55'), Luis Rodriguez (87'), Ivanic (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sjovold (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League playoff between Red Star Belgrade and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 Red Star
Tuesday, August 20 at 8pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 6-0 Sarpsborg
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-1 Bodo/Glimt (Bodo/Glimt win 3-2 on aggregate)

Bodo/Glimt should have a more substantial lead before arriving at the intimidating Marakana, but they can still hold firm in Serbia and edge through to the Champions League group stage. Converting chances was the Norwegian side's shortcoming last week, but one goal could be enough to qualify for the very first time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawBodo/Glimt
45.12% (-0.59 -0.59) 22.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 32.58% (0.489 0.49)
Both teams to score 66.78% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.54% (-0.283 -0.28)33.46% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.75% (-0.322 -0.32)55.25% (0.32 0.32)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (-0.321 -0.32)15.48% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.63% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)44.37% (0.599 0.6)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.129 0.13)20.98% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (0.201 0.2)53.74% (-0.204 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 45.12%
    Bodo/Glimt 32.58%
    Draw 22.29%
Red Star BelgradeDrawBodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.06% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.084 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.59% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 32.58%

How you voted: Red Star vs Bodo/Glimt

Red Star Belgrade
41.3%
Draw
25.4%
Bodo/Glimt
33.3%
126
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2024 8pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Bodo/Glimt
2-1
Red Star
Mimovic (75')
Olayinka (45+1'), Ivanic (70')
rhs 2.0
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