MX23RW : Wednesday, September 18 10:45:24| >> :60:1191:1191:
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 4pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
4 - 0
RFS

Mikkelsen (2', 76'), Saltnes (18'), Kapskarmo (40')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Panic (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Rigas Futbola Skola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Odd
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Larne 0-4 RFS
Wednesday, July 17 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 Rigas Futbola Skola

Bodo are particularly hard to beat on home turf, but RFS have scored in their last 11 games across all competitions and will seek to test their hosts' defence: a slim win for the Norwegian champions should leave this tie in the balance ahead of next week's decider in Riga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 57.68%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 21.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 1-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawRigas Futbola Skola
57.68%20.56%21.76%
Both teams to score 62.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.82% (0.00099999999999056 0)34.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.07%
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)11.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.02% (0.0019999999999953 0)36.98%
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37%28.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)64.44%
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 57.69%
    Rigas Futbola Skola 21.76%
    Draw 20.56%
Bodo/GlimtDrawRigas Futbola Skola
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 7.71%
1-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 6.88%
3-0 @ 5.5%
3-2 @ 4.3%
4-1 @ 3.68%
4-0 @ 2.94%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.57%
5-0 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
4-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 57.69%
1-1 @ 9.02%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-1 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs RFS

Bodo/Glimt
76.5%
Draw
12.1%
Rigas Futbola Skola
11.4%
132
rhs 2.0
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