Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Boras Arena
Elfsborg1 - 0Qarabag
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Elfsborg
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
52
Last Game: Qarabag 1-4 Lyon
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Elfsborg 2-1 Qarabag FK
Both sides have struggled in their first five Europa League matches this term and will be keenly aware that time is running out for them to pick up the necessary points to make it to the next round. However, the defensive weakness Qarabag have displayed in the league phase so far is difficult to overlook, and Elfsborg may exploit this to take all three points on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
Result | ||
Elfsborg | Draw | Qarabag FK |
37.1% ( 3.26) | 23% ( -0.28) | 39.91% ( -2.97) |
Both teams to score 65.31% ( 1.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.13% ( 2.07) | 35.87% ( -2.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.05% ( 2.24) | 57.95% ( -2.23) |
Elfsborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.18% ( 2.6) | 19.82% ( -2.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.1% ( 4.04) | 51.9% ( -4.04) |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% ( -0.41) | 18.54% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.21% ( -0.69) | 49.79% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Elfsborg 37.1%
Qarabag FK 39.91%
Draw 23%
Elfsborg | Draw | Qarabag FK |
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.51) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.33) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.25% Total : 37.1% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.4% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.41) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.75) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.71) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.44) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.69% Total : 39.91% |
How you voted: Elfsborg vs Qarabag
Elfsborg
55.7%Draw
21.6%Qarabag FK
22.7%88
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-30 12:31:18
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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